Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.489643 2.881883 3.324232 3.861689 4.499253 5.234098 6.149061
2025-02-23 1.910739 2.423834 3.065645 3.934772 5.092217 6.596310 8.724512
2025-03-02 1.570473 2.113460 2.840138 3.897902 5.421875 7.574591 10.911500
2025-03-09 1.369824 1.933254 2.729773 3.960288 5.853798 8.725276 13.543023
2025-03-16 1.194702 1.753479 2.580136 3.922635 6.107442 9.629920 15.965133
2025-03-23 1.062256 1.613472 2.462208 3.903206 6.369501 10.574007 18.637948
2025-03-30 0.943569 1.476595 2.326517 3.827275 6.513898 11.330450 21.127797
2025-04-06 0.870937 1.402639 2.279601 3.888540 6.899182 12.574028 24.823040
2025-04-13 0.783743 1.293344 2.158420 3.798620 6.987783 13.268730 27.558455
2025-04-20 0.744871 1.261273 2.165113 3.940190 7.537458 14.969034 32.887151
2025-04-27 0.687742 1.190312 2.093194 3.920846 7.759936 16.029837 37.021484
2025-05-04 0.656228 1.161817 2.095095 4.045066 8.299116 17.880277 43.586498
2025-05-11 0.609581 1.107391 2.055181 4.108898 8.790306 19.898723 51.730527
2025-05-18 0.567047 1.057437 2.021056 4.188796 9.360694 22.324719 62.177321
2025-05-25 0.518562 0.989171 1.939645 4.149159 9.637573 24.085958 71.424283
2025-06-01 0.485640 0.947889 1.907930 4.216110 10.193844 26.757905 84.825507
2025-06-08 0.447730 0.891567 1.836184 4.175702 10.463472 28.707288 96.728585
2025-06-15 0.415653 0.843778 1.776706 4.154854 10.782688 30.908170 110.724427
2025-06-22 0.382858 0.790697 1.698434 4.073384 10.914434 32.573074 123.547359
2025-06-29 0.363084 0.764191 1.678046 4.139117 11.494911 35.907582 145.418150
2025-07-06 0.335333 0.716627 1.601894 4.042642 11.561560 37.506660 160.476479
2025-07-13 0.324303 0.706393 1.614761 4.194541 12.452988 42.409957 194.933719
2025-07-20 0.304897 0.674354 1.569582 4.173783 12.775704 45.289028 221.032134